Are the polls true - or will there be a left coalition...

Are the polls true - or will there be a left coalition? Will Helen Clark and Labour squeak in with the Greens and the Maori Party? Will Winston and NZ First get that 5% to survive?

Of course there will be change, but do you really want Roger Douglas back in government? You'll get him if Act does well! He is No 3 on their list.

I can tell you the "real" people don't want a bar of National and Act. We want real leadership, jobs and security, which National can't deliver!


I don't think John Key would survive his term before Bill English rolls him, in any case.

Tomorrow is tomorrow and...

What's John Key's memory like I wonder?

What's John Key's memory like I wonder? Not the best I would suggest. Memory's are made of this, goes an old song.

Back in 2002 John Key was saying the DPB was, for the want of a better word, breeding for business - bit of an inane comment I would also suggest. But, however, this was disputed by his colleague Katherine Rich, who by contrast said most people who were on the DPB were pretty motivated people who have the same dreams and aspirations as anybody else. Benefit bashing was a most unsatisfactory practice that didn't achieve any positive outcomes at all. Katherine Rich resigned from her shadow cabinet post in protest, disillusioned with people such as Don Brash and John Key.

National's polling has been described as "push polling" during which supposed independent telephone pollsters ask questions containing damaging allegations about government politicians to turn voters off a particular candidate ie " Would you support a particular candidate if you knew something(derogatory)about that person", something that may actually not have happened at all - but too late after the election to disprove.

This sort of polling is obviously at the forefront of Key's publicity tactics. This form of polling was used by Don Brash, John Key and the National Party before the last elections. An election that National actually lost, but not according to the National Party? The people of New Zealand elected the Labour- led Government for a three year term.

The National Party has been white- anting this Government from Day One. I would suggest they pull their collective heads in and create policy that would make New Zealand a better place for all its people with a change of government in twelve months time - not the elite of New Zealand society on $250,000 plus per year and able to send their offspring to some elite private school. But that is the Key way ahead of New Zealand with a millionaire potential prime minister.

John Key was part of the decision making that led to Mark Textor and others from Australia who made many visits to this country, including one in late November of 2004, and many more up to September of 2005. A number of telephone calls and written reports were also made and sent to the National Party here.In one of the reports the National Party was urged to raise finance for two election campaigns - the second election was meant to take place when the Labour coalition government broke down, and other parties wouldn't have the finance available to campaign successfully a second time against the National Party. Slim hopes for the dreamers in dreamland. Labour would always be able to raise sufficient funds for an unexpected election. National should always remember that!

Key wants, smells, tastes power- he's dangerous...

Key wants,smells,tastes power - he's dangerous...


These polls are just what they are- polls. But they have to be a "wake up" call for Labour. Key is in a honeymoon period. This guy is not stupid like Brash. He's serious and extremely dangerous - he wants, smells, tastes and is after power!

He does not oppose Labour's policies, such as Kiwisaver, anti-nuclear, environmental in general, in privatisation - not in their first term. But let me tell you that they intend to bring in Employment law that will make the ECA seem like kindergarten rules - employees will be like servants during the first six months of new employment. Any gains that unions have made in the last three terms will be stymied by new law.





Expert: Polls no honeymoon period
Massey University political marketing expert says move towards National and its leader John Key cannot be written off as honeymoon period


28 May 2007
A political marketing expert says Labour has good reason to be worried about its sharp slip in the polls.

In Saturday's Herald-DigiPoll 50.9 percent of decided voters support National. Last night's One News/Colmar-Brunton survey gave National 56 percent support and Labour 31 percent.

National leader John Key says the polls show New Zealanders are tired of Labour's direction. But he says polls are ultimately a snap shot of a horse race that has not finished and there is plenty of work to do yet. Mr Key says there is no room for complacency or arrogance.

Prime Minister Helen Clark says it is simply mid-term blues, which Labour has had before, and as recently as when Don Brash was appointed National leader. She says Mr Key is in a honeymoon period and she is not depressed about the polls.

Massey University political marketing expert Dr Claire Robinson says the move towards National and its leader John Key cannot be written off as his honeymoon period. She says new research has shown the earlier people make up their minds, the better news it is for National.

"We can predict that National support will rise if voters make their decision early. We can also see that minor party support tends to decline, the sooner voters make up their mind."

Dr Robinson says the shift in voter thinking is significant because once people have put in the effort to decide who they will vote for, they do not tend to think about it much again until the election campaign. She says when the election campaign comes along they take another look at their choice.

"As long as National stays doing things right, there will not be much need for people to reflect on their decision and change their mind. But National still has an opportunity to go belly-up like it did in 2005."

Dr Robinson says Labour still has an opportunity to drag itself up in the election campaign, but it will have to come up with something new.

Electors not pollsters decide the future of governments...

John Key and the National Party are soaring to great heights in the latest opinion polls, it has been claimed. Is that right? Just where are they soaring to? Electors not pollsters decide the future of governments in parliamentary democracies.

Electors have rejected the National party in the last three elections. So what went wrong there? Was it purely because of the leaders the National Party had at the time? Bill English and Don Brash? Granted that John Key is light years from Don Brash as a leader; but Brash brought National very close in the last election result, after Bill English, the new Finance spokesman in the current Key shadow government, was mutilated in the elections previously.

Before you all get carried away and get yourselves measured for blue suits next year, let me remind you that it is actually all about perceptions, and...policies.

The Labour led Government is in the process of governing New Zealand in the best possible manner according to its philosophies, not tryng to get itself elected after three terms in opposition.

Apart from all its rejected New Right policies, all National has going is obsessive tax reductions. Labour has been building and creating an economy and a fair society - and it will continue building on that in the future. Forget all the trite comments about social engineering from right wing critics - just what the hell is social engineering anyway? Social evolution has been occurring for ever and occurs throughout western societies. There are reasons for social change and evolution will never be halted by Christian fundamentalist factions who believe social minorities have no human rights at all. As they say, politics has no place in religion, and vice versa!

Until later! Enjoy the honeymoon, Johnboy.