Friday, September 19, 2008
Do you believe in the tooth fairy and Santa Claus? Why believe current political polls...
Do you believe in the tooth fairy and Santa Claus? Why believe current political polls? I don't!
It is hard to place any credence on political polls when two completely unconnected polls show over 7% difference in what National is polling.
One poll shows 18% difference between National and Labour in a head to head poll. 11% could be halved in one poll closer to the election. National could still have the most seats but not a big enough majority to win the elections. Labour has ready made possible coalition partners in the Greens, NZ First and other minor parties, and National doesn't. The Maori Party will never support National because they know most of their members vote Labour for the party vote - if they did Maori Party support in the future would probably collapse.
A recent Maori Television poll showed Maori voters are swinging back to Labour in very large numbers.
Don't trust those sort of polls? Why would you believe National was 18% ahead of Labour? Believe in the Tooth Fairy and Santa Claus too? They have absolutely no credibility whatsoever!